Russian diesel exports have fallen by 31% according to trade estimates

Russian diesel and gasoil exports fell by 31% to around 337,000 barrels a day in the first seven days of November 2026 compared with the previous week. The figures are calculations by the news agency Bloomberg, based on information from data provider Vortexa and cited by BTA on 13 November. The information comes through a single sourcing chain; at the time of publication, Flank had found no independent confirmation of the volumes or destinations.

Overall petroleum product exports rose

In the first seven days of November 2026, Russia exported a total of 1.64 million barrels of refined petroleum products a day. Total Russian exports of refined petroleum products rose by 4% to 1.64 million barrels a day, according to Bloomberg calculations based on Vortexa data. Barrels a day. The cited estimate puts fuel oil exports at around 805,000 barrels a day, a weekly increase of 63%. Daily exports of refinery feedstocks, including vacuum gasoil, reached around 186,000 barrels, almost four times the previous week's level.

The reported figures therefore show a change in the composition of exports rather than an overall contraction. Lower diesel shipments were offset in volume terms by other products. Vacuum gasoil is a feedstock for further refining, not finished diesel.

According to BTA, most diesel fuel and gasoil shipments were destined for Turkey and Brazil. Without a breakdown by port and route, Turkey being listed as a destination does not in itself confirm that the cargoes passed through the Black Sea.

The cause of the decline remains unclear

BTA reports the decline against the backdrop of renewed Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries. However, the report does not establish how much of the change is attributable to damage, export restrictions, domestic consumption or the shifting of loadings between weeks.

In Flank's assessment, one week of lower shipments is not enough to conclude that Russian refining is in a sustained crisis. Export volumes do not directly indicate either sales revenues or supplies available to the armed forces. Assessing the military impact requires information on fuel production, stocks and domestic distribution.